As Tom Petty often sang, “The waiting is the hardest part.”
Whether it’s waiting for college acceptance letters, medical
test results, employment offers, or Federal Reserve monetary policy changes,
waiting can produce a lot of anxiety. A 2012 research paper written by Associate
Professor Kate Sweeney and Graduate Fellow Sara Andrews of the University of
California, Riverside, explained it like this:
“…Although waiting for
inevitable events such as the arrival of a bus or one’s turn in line may be
irritating…the combination of uncertainty about the outcome and waiting for
that outcome can be particularly excruciating. In fact, waiting may be more
anxiety provoking than actually facing the worst case scenario…”
That may go a ways toward explaining why markets didn’t rally
when the Federal Reserve decided to leave rates unchanged last week. The
Federal Open Market Committee’s statement indicated they were concerned, “Recent
global economic and financial developments may restrain economic activity
somewhat and are likely to put further downward pressure on inflation in the
near term.”
On the face of it, continued low rates should have been good
news for assets like stocks, according to Barron’s.
However, any positive aspects to the news were mitigated by the fact everyone
expects the Fed to begin raising rates soon. Investors are waiting for it to
happen, and they’re uncertain how economies and markets will react when it
does.
Heightened anxiety may be one of the reasons investors
responded the way they did last week. On Friday, after mulling the Fed’s
decision, national stock market indices around the world – in the United
States, England, Germany, France, and Japan – fell significantly, according to Yahoo! Finance.
Now, we’re back to waiting.
If anxiety remains high, markets may be volatile.
It’s
official. the IGs are in. Ignoble is a word rarely heard in everyday conversation.
Merriam-Webster defines it as meaning, “of low birth or common origin, or
characterized by baseness, lowness, or meanness.”
The 25th First Annual Ig®
Nobel Prize Ceremony was held last week at Harvard University. Improbable.com reported, “Winners
traveled to the ceremony, at their own expense, from around the world to
receive their prizes from a group of genuine, genuinely bemused Nobel
Laureates…” Winners completed research that made people laugh and then caused
them to think.
·
The Management Prize went to Gennaro Bernile,
Vineet Bhagwat, and P. Raghavendra Rau, authors of ‘What Doesn't Kill You Will
Only Make You More Risk-Loving: Early-Life Disasters and CEO Behavior.’ They
examined the link between CEOs’ early-life exposure to major fatal disasters
and the financial and investment policies adopted by their companies. They
found, “CEOs who experience fatal disasters without extremely negative
consequences lead firms that behave more aggressively, whereas CEOs who witness
the extreme downside of disasters behave more conservatively.”
·
The Economics Prize was awarded to the Bangkok
Metropolitan Police, which implemented a new policy in an effort to reduce
bribery. They pay a bonus to police officers who refuse to accept bribes, even
though the officers are required by law not to accept bribes. (It’s a concept
that may resonate with parents.)
·
The Literature Prize went to Mark Dingemanse,
Francisco Torreira, and Nick J. Enfield, who presented evidence and arguments
supporting the idea that ‘huh?’ is a word, and that it “is found in roughly the
same form and function in spoken languages across the globe.”
If you’re interested in learning about the ignoble
undertakings of other winners (who documented chicken walking like dinosaurs,
created bee sting pain indices, and completed other thought-provoking
experiments), visit www.Improbable.com.
Weekly Focus – Think About It
“A day without
sunshine is like, you know, night.”
--Steve Martin, American
No comments:
Post a Comment